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Rainfall Departure Frequency (1951-2020)



                  ainfall  departure  is  the  difference  between  the  actual  and  expected
                  precipitation  over  a  specific  period.  The  Expected  precipitation,  known  as
            RNormal  R/F,  is  based  on  50-year  historical  averages,  while  the  Actual  R/F
            represents recorded rainfall in 2020. Rainfall departures are important for assessing                      N
            impacts  on  agriculture,  water  resources,  and  industries  dependent  on  rainfall
            patterns. Tools like weather satellites, rain gauges, and computer models are used to                 W         E
            track  and  analyze  rainfall  departures.  In  the  Indian  context,  a  simple  method  is
            adopted to calculate rainfall departures which is depicted below as follows:
                                                                                                                       S
                Departure (As %) = (Actual R/F – Normal R/F) × 100 / Normal R/F
                                                                                                                      Scale
            An important parameter called rainfall departure frequency may be obtained using                                        Kms
            the rainfall departure data. Rainfall departure frequency refers to the frequency with       0  12.5 25   50    75    100
            which a region experiences a departure from its average or normal rainfall levels. The
            formula for calculating rainfall departure frequency is as follows:
               Rainfall Departure Frequency = Count (Departure % of category x)
            Where x refers to any of the departure categories mentioned in Table 15.
            Figure 18 shows the rainfall departure frequency in Haryana using data from 1951 to
            2020.  Two districts, Rewari and Kurukshetra have large excesses (≥60), indicating a
            significant departure from average rainfall while Panchkula and Sirsa have large
            deficiencies  (≤  -60  and  ≥  -99).  Most  districts  fall  within  the  normal  category,
            indicating rainfall departure close to the average. However, Faridabad has no rain in a
            single time period. Moreover, Charkhi Dadri shows the highest frequency of rainfall
            departure in the deficient category (≤ -20 to ≥ -59). Most districts have maximum
            values in the normal and deficient categories. This suggests that rainfall in Haryana is
            typically either within the normal range or deficient. Rainfall departure frequency is
            crucial  for  several  key  areas,  particularly  for  environmental  planning,  drought
            monitoring,  flood  forecasting,  agriculture,  climate  change  research  and  water
            resource management.




                      Table 15. Frequency of Rainfall Departure % from Normal to R/F
                                   during 1951-2020 across all Districts


                          Large                                                Large
                          Excess    Excess        Normal       Deficient     Deficient   No Rain
             District      (≥ 60)    (≤ 59 & ≥ 20)    (≤ 19 & ≥ -19)   (≤ -20 & ≥ -59)   (≤ -60 & ≥ -99)   (= -100)
             Ambala         0          9            45            17             0          0
             Bhiwani        8         13            29            21             0          0
             Charkhi Dadri   2         7            26            33             3          0
             Faridabad      3         10            39            16             2          1
             Fatehabad      8         12            25            23             3          0
             Gurugram       3         13            32            23             0          0
             Hisar          5         21            26            17             2          0
             Jhajjar        4         11            28            25             3          0
             Jind           5          9            32            24             1          0
             Kaithal        5         17            25            22             2          0
             Karnal         2         18            30            20             1          0
             Kurukshetra    11        13            30            17             0          0
             Mahendragarh   5         17            25            23             1          0
             Mewat          2         12            33            22             2          0
             Palwal         3         18            35            15             0          0
             Panchkula      0          6            37            24             4          0
             Panipat        6         14            24            25             2          0
             Rewari         12        16            28            13             2          0
             Rohtak         3         10            33            22             3          0
             Sirsa          6         15            28            18             4          0
             Sonipat        5         15            32            18             1          0
             Yamunanagar    1         10            39            21             0          0
             Haryana        99        286           681           459           36          1                           Figure 18. Frequency of Rainfall Departure (1951-2020)
                                                                                    Source: IMD, INDIA                                                                                               Data Source-IMD, India
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